Maximum temperatures in much of central Victoria were the hottest on record in the first half of this year, with the three-month outlook indicating warmer and drier conditions are likely to continue for the rest of winter.
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Data from the Bureau of Meteorology shows the maximum temperature from the start of January to the end of June was the highest on record for that time period for the vast majority of central Victoria – and the state overall.
For the remainder of the state, maximum temperatures were “very much above average”.
Likewise, minimum temperatures were above average across central Victoria.
Overall in central Victoria, the average temperature from January to the end of June was significantly above average, being 1 to 2 degrees higher than the long-term average.
The hotter temperatures were coupled with drier weather in the first half of 2018.
Rainfall for the first six months of the year ranged from average in some parts, to below average and very much below average in most of the region.
This meant some parts of central Victoria experienced a serious rainfall deficiency, with certain areas – including Bendigo – seeing 100 to 200 millimetres less than the long-term average.
These conditions were reflected in the vegetation index, which shows the greenness of vegetation in Victoria was much less than average.
The Bureau’s climate outlook for July to September suggests similar conditions are likely to persist for the rest of winter.
The likelihood of Bendigo exceeding its average maximum and minimum temperatures for that time frame is rated as likely, becoming highly likely in July in particular.
Parts of the region north of Bendigo are even more likely to experience higher maximum temperatures than average.
The outlook also indicates the likelihood of Bendigo exceeding its median rainfall of 171 millimetres is unlikely.
There is, however, a 77 per cent chance the city will receive at least 100 millimetres.
The likelihood of receiving above-median rain is also unlikely for the rest of the region, although it improves towards the south.
The temperature and rainfall outlooks are similar for most of the country, with warmer than usual days and nights expected, along with less rain than average.
Natalie Croxon
Reporter at the Illawarra Mercury, mostly covering social affairs. Previously of the Bendigo Advertiser, Northern Daily Leader and Quirindi Advocate. Our Watch award winner.
Reporter at the Illawarra Mercury, mostly covering social affairs. Previously of the Bendigo Advertiser, Northern Daily Leader and Quirindi Advocate. Our Watch award winner.
