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 Dull campaigns but interesting times ahead 

Dull campaigns but interesting times ahead

23 Aug, 2010 09:58 PM
There’s no doubt the weekend’s federal election result is a blow to the government led by Julia Gillard, although closer to home it was a solid win for Steve Gibbons. Just three months out from a state election, it was also a major blow to the Victorian coalition.

This was an election with no great highlights and even now in its aftermath it’s still a race to see which of the major parties has lost the least in order to form government.

For Julia Gillard, the result is a shocker. Having assumed the office of prime minister just two months ago, she would have hoped to have ridden a wave of popular support that would legitimise her prime ministership. Instead, Australians face the very real prospect that we will have as our next prime minister a party leader who was unable to win the election in their own right.

Labor appears the party most likely to be in a position to form a minority government and this would then set the scene for potentially one of the most turbulent and unpredictable periods in Australian politics with the Greens almost certain to hold the balance of power in the Senate.

The Greens have well and truly arrived as a political force, having splintered off enough of Labor’s primary vote to win valuable seats in the Senate, and of course, the highly prized seat of Melbourne in the House of Representatives.

Whether this is the making of the Greens or not remains to be seen.

One thing for sure though, these next few days, weeks, months and even years are going to be as interesting as any in our nation’s proud political history.

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The Greens politics can be summed up in one word: Relevance! They are relevant in politics because that is how they are perceived. Another party's policies and ideals may be be critical to the security and economic functioning of a nation but the party will only be relevant if voters see it that way. I personally am skeptical of climate change; I believe the issue has not been adequately debated and more than enough disinformation has been circulated and deemed as gospel without any rigor being applied to its substance. Hence I view the Greens with suspicion although not total disregard. At a national level, Labor blew its credibility when it initially proclaimed Kyoto but walked away from carbon tax and with the fiasco that took place in Copenhagen. The Liberal leader declared initially climate change was a furphy but proceeded to compromise on the issue. So who is supposed to believe what?
Posted by Tom Stewart, 24/08/2010 10:21:39 AM, on Bendigo Advertiser
Tom, you are soft pedalling a bit, Tony Abbott didn't say that climate change was a furphy, he said it was crap, and whether that was scripted or unscripted I'll leave that at mentioning it. He said it in a moment of inattention to constraint, which for me makes it a gut reaction to his real feelings. I agree that Labor's putting the carbon tax on the back burner was a fatal mistake. As for your climate scepticism you say that "...enough disinformation has been circulated...", do you apply that to both sides of the argument? If you want to judge 'disinformation', you'd have to be conversant with both sides. I can count all the re-gurgitated sceptical scientist and pseudo ones on the fingers of both hands. We are already seeing effects of global warming, how much would it take for you to change your mind? How many record heatwaves, record floods, amount of ice loss from poles and glaciers? Do you have a quantum for that? There must be a point which you would see as credible.
Posted by David Klein, 24/08/2010 12:46:42 PM, on Bendigo Advertiser
I don't agree with '...most turbulent and unpredictable period in Australian political history...', but acknowledge the caveat of 'potentially'. A Labor minority government with the Greens balance of power in the Senate, is likely to lead to a very stable period. Sure it will take the pollies a bit of time to learn the art of compromise; a bad tasting medicine in a two party preferred system, the flavour will improve though over time. A Coalition minority government is destined to face an uncooperative senate when it strays onto contentious roads. This is likely to result in a double dissolution election well before the end of the term. Early days yet, the final count will tell.
Posted by David Klein, 24/08/2010 12:59:03 PM, on Bendigo Advertiser
David, i did say I am skeptical and not dismissing claims out of hand. Anyone who has read earlier comments of mine would realise I make up my own mind and I have little regard for either of the major parties. I am well acquainted with disinformation on the right side of politics having served the trade union movement for fifteen years but sadly telling porkies is not restricted to the right and far right. When I worked for North Central News in St Arnaud, I read the book which encompasses St Arnaud's history "Track of the years" since 1851. The year 1856 witnessed only one day in which it rained for that entire year - and that was for 15 minutes. A little bo peep at Lake Eppalock will re institute a view that weather may be cyclicle. There are enough religions about who have told us for centuries of the impending hour of Armegeddon - and they're definately bloody silly!
Posted by Tom Stewart, 25/08/2010 6:33:39 PM, on Bendigo Advertiser
Tom Stewart, 25/08/2010 5:33:39 PM Tom, even with global warming the weather will have its chaotic cycles, but likely more extreme. It does not mean that we will not have any wet winters. Keep in mind that watching some water draining into Lake Eppalock might be a good thing to see, but devastating absolute record floods like in Pakistan is terrible for those subjected. Again, how many record floods, record heatwaves, record droughts, record ice melt will a the sceptics accept as proof of AGW? The deniers will say 'no matter how many', it is still part of 'normal', while swimming for their life. Do you have a criteria for yourself, to convince yourself that global warming and climate change is happening? If you, as you say, don't dismiss it out of hand, then you must have some idea what would make you chose either way.
Posted by David Klein, 26/08/2010 2:23:10 PM, on Bendigo Advertiser
Please guys look at what we are really talking about with climate change their is no doubt that there are some changes there always have been. Are the changes man made is the question? Regarding religion was the great flood climate change? It seems to be mentioned by many ancient religions Great letters Tom keep up the good work.
Posted by John Meredith, 26/08/2010 2:28:01 PM, on Bendigo Advertiser

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